Randwick Winners - Tips For Saturday, 16th October 2021

Racing

Randwick Winners - Tips For Saturday, 16th October 2021

The rail is in the True position and the form done for a soft track.

Racecourse : Randwick (Australia) Picture: Jason McCawley/Getty Images

Race 1 - 12:30PM FUJITSU GENERAL HANDICAP (1400 METRES)

7. Zoushack shouldn't have too much trouble spearing across from the wide draw to take up the running with Nash Rawiller on board. The five-year-old has had two runs for Joe Pride. The first of those was a second behind Count De Rupee at Kembla Grange in a deep BM88, with the winner clocking a faster time than the Run To The Rose. Count De Rupee was subsequently unlucky not to win the Silver Eagle. That was before Zoushack was posted deep and working at Warwick Farm with 61.5kg last start, as a firm $3.20 favourite. What's been noticeable in those two starts has been how strong he has been through the line. He gets a second wind. That sets him up beautifully out to 1400m third up in a race where Rawiller can dictate the tempo. The soft track holds no fears either, winning three of six with the sting out of the ground.

Dangers: 1. Arapaho could improve sharply second up out to 1400m back to BM78 company. Found 1200m too short behind Big Parade and Gravina first up, not helped by the sit-sprint shape of the race. Was only beaten two lengths by Brandenburg second up last preparation, his first in Australia, in The Coast where he SP'd $8.50. 6. New King resumes as a gelding and has shown bits and pieces of form in his career to date. Barrier 2 gives him the chance to at least settle in front of a couple. Wet okay. Could be a sneaky knockout hope. 9. Visinari hasn't been helped by the draw, which will likely see him out the back but he found the line well behind Edit at Tamworth, his first run in nearly a year. 3. Cuban Royale and 12. Bowery Breeze will run well.

How to play it: Zoushack WIN ($4.80 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: ODDS

Race 2 - 1:05PM THE STAR MILE (1600 METRES)

10. High Supremacy made heavy contact with a rival in the Silver Eagle at the top of the straight yet still kept finding the line to run fifth. That was off a set up of being 1400m back to 1300m, which certainly wasn't in his favour. First up the four-year-old sprinted quickly, albeit on the best ground at Randwick and on the back of a brilliant Nash Rawiller ride. It was in good overall time and his last 200m split of 11.68s was the second quickest across the entire meeting. It flagged that he has returned better than ever. He gets out to the mile third up, with the blinkers going on and dropping to 52kg. On a true weight scale he'd be carrying 50.5kg but he still looks well placed. The wet track won't stop him and with the acceleration he possesses, the pace in the race will suit. Hard to beat.

Dangers: If 3. Looks Like Elvis fought out the finish with Atishu first up in the Bill Ritchie, a race that subsequently provided the Epsom quinella. The seven-year-old has been kept fresh since then, catching the eye at Warwick Farm in a lovely tickover trial. Handles all conditions and is always underrated by the market. Nicely placed in this. 8. New Arrangement looked to have finally found the perfect race last start only for 5. Kiss The Bride to get complete control in front. The run was much better than it looked. Plummets in weight up in grade but maps to be out the back. Wouldn't be surprised to see 9. All Hallows' Eve improve sharply getting onto a wet track.

How to play it: High Supremacy WIN ($2.15 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: SPLIT

Race 3 - 1:40PM TAB HIGHWAY HANDICAP (1100 METRES)

It's hard to poke any holes in the case of 2. Ahead Start. The four-year-old resumed at Randwick four weeks ago and after looming to run past the winner Leo, he peaked on his run. With the benefit of hindsight we now know he was in the worst part of the track that meeting. Danny Williams also suggested that Ahead Start would improve with the run. Leo, of course, has come out and franked that form line further with a dominant win in BM78 company, running home in slick time to beat One The Lead. This looks to be a target race for the Dream Ahead gelding and with James McDonald booked again and a wet track holding no fears, he's a deserved favourite. Barrier 2 looks a positive at this stage but monitor the first two races.

Dangers: 1. Golden Gorge tackles the 1100m first up. It was the only way he'd be fresh enough to not be left behind over this trip. We saw Kody Nestor successfully execute a plan to have this horse ready fourth up last campaign in a Highway Handicap over 1400m. Tipping this time back, it's all been about Saturday's $100,000 prizemoney race. 3. More Sundays has a sharp, devastating sprint so it's all about Kerrin McEvoy cuddling him for as long as possible. Was only beaten a length by Ahead Start back in April when asked to sustain a sprint from the back. The draw is perfect to camp midfield. 9. Blow Dart has won three of his five starts and won over 900m first up with some authority. The wet track is the knock for 5. Bellastar but wouldn't be surprised to see her run a race at odds.

How to play it: Ahead Start WIN ($3.10 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: SPLIT

Race 4 - 2:15PM BISLEY WORKWEAR REGINALD ALLEN QUALITY (1400 METRES)

5. Fangirl is out to emulate what his dam Little Surfer Girl did in this race back in 2009. She looks to be loaded with the same amount of talent too. On the back of a dominant Goulburn win, where she put five lengths on her rivals, she jumps straight into Listed company. It's worth noting that she only levelled up to her rivals last start at the 200m mark yet won running away by a big space. Chris Waller had intended to deep end her in the G1 Flight Stakes after her maiden victory but she was scratched with a vets certificate. Then the Thousand Guineas was under consideration but Waller has opted to keep her in Sydney, instead aiming up at a race in which she is a firm favourite. James McDonald jumps off 3. Hoover Lucy to ride her. Not convinced barrier 1 is ideal but J-Mac will work that out.

Dangers: 10. Roots is another Waller trained runner coming off a Goulburn maiden win, but again, there was plenty of substance to her win. This time on debut. She settled back in the field and rounded up her rivals over 1200m, profiling like she'll relish 1400m. She went straight past Naples, who the start prior beat home 9. Riduna at Gosford. Hoover Lucy put her rivals away at Warwick Farm last start in a 1400m maiden, a trip she'd been desperate for. That was on a soft track. In her only previous crack at that trip she ran Gleneagles to less than a length. Draws perfectly. 1. Decent Raine has form around the best fillies in Melbourne but pays the penalty at the weights. Won on a Heavy 10 at Echuca back in August so the rain won't bother her.

How to play it: Fangirl WIN ($2.90 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: SPLIT

Race 5 - 2:50PM THE KOSCIUSZKO (1200 METRES)

Former Kiwi galloper 7. Edit could be a special talent for Cody Morgan. We've only got one Australian performance to judge him off but the five-year-old couldn't have been more impressive at Tamworth. He settled out the back first up before unleashing an exceptional turn of foot. Punters Intelligence reveals that Edit smoked home in 33.02s for his last 600m with a sustained sprint to the line. His 400-200 and last 200m were near identical. That's rare. Hugh Bowman will ride a patient race from the wide draw, peeling to the middle of the track in the straight, so he'll be giving away another head start but has the quality to round these up.

Dangers: 1. Handle The Truth won the 2019 Kosciuszko before running fourth last year, when given every chance. Has held his own against Group One class sprinters in his two runs back and is by far the highest rated runner in the field. Will be in the finish. 3. Art Cadeau won the Country Championships Final the last time we saw him at the races, and this is another step up again from that, but he draws to get the run of the race and loves the wet. The lightly-raced 14. Sunrise Ruby is another helped by the wet track. It's the opposite for 6. Spiranac. She's got a dynamic turn of foot that'd see her measure up in this but on top of the ground.

How to play it: Edit WIN ($4.80 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: SPLIT

Race 6 - 3:25PM MOËT & CHANDON SYDNEY STAKES (1200 METRES)

Out of all of the key chances in this race, 5. Big Parade is the big winner when it comes to the condition of the Randwick track. The prospect of wet ground won't worry his trainer Mark Newnham in the slightest as his five-year-old is 6:4-1-1 on soft and heavy tracks. The Deep Field gelding has won seven from 14, which is a brilliant record, but he can throw in the odd inexplicable flat run from time to time. Last start over this same track and trip he was unusually slow into stride, which saw him tuck in behind the speed. From there he sprinted sharply pinching a gap on the fast-finishing Gravina, who he gave 8.5kg to. Outside of 6. Prime Candidate, there are no other speed horses in the race. It's just a matter of which version turns up but if he runs up to his best, he's in the finish.

Dangers: A wet track has never bothered 1. Kementari in the past with a record of 4:2-0-2 on soft ground. One of those was a Group One third behind Winx and Happy Clapper. Nabbed Zoutori on the line to win the Gilgai first up. 4. Chat is 1500m back to 1200m but that was three weeks ago and it could prove advantageous on a testing track. Ran past Embracer and Big Parade to win the Theo Marks the start prior to that. 12. Enchanted Heart could be the sleeper of the field. Ran over 1000m first up as a tune up. She's a capable mare on wet ground and draws to stalk the leaders. Prime Candidate typically improves lengths second up. 2. Signore Fox, 3. Standout and 11. Fituese are heavily disadvantaged by a wet track.

How to play it: Big Parade WIN ($3.70 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: ODDS

Race 7 - 4:15PM THE TAB EVEREST (1200 METRES)

1. Nature Strip could not have a better set up. Chris Waller has mirrored exactly the preparation he had going into his TJ Smith Stakes triumph six months ago. He was beaten in the Challenge Stakes the start prior to that by 2. Eduardo before turning the tables in emphatic fashion. Love the barrier for him too. Nature Strip is a builder, not a jump and run style of horse. James McDonald will take his time in following Eduardo across to sit outside of the leader. The same position he won the TJ from. The other element in his favour is the soft track. It just takes the edge off the tempo and the closing speed of a couple of his key rivals. In his previous two defeats in TAB Everests, the lead speed has been brutal. Unsustainable. Champion trainer. Champion jockey. The country's reigning champion sprinter.

Dangers: How do we confidently assess the defending champ 2. Classique Legend? We can't. He hasn't raced in 10 months. Granted, he has trialled well but how much credence can we place on that? Enough to warrant being the early favourite in a world class sprint? His win in this race last year, and his first up win in The Shorts for that matter, were breathtaking. He can win, no doubt, but the price makes the decision an easy one. The wet track won't bother 4. Gytrash. He'd need Nature Strip and Classique Legend to trip up to win but you just know he'll put himself into a spot to potentially take advantage if they do. It's become a tiresome take on Eduardo but can he sustain his speed over 1200m at this level? Concede 6. Masked Crusader, with the winkers on, and 12. Home Affairs have some claims while expect 5. Trekking to finish top half.

How to play it: Nature Strip WIN ($3.70 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: SPLIT

Race 8 - 4:50PM YULONG CRAVEN PLATE (2000 METRES)

1. Think It Over is the best horse in this race and so well suited by the weight for age scale. If only form was as simple as that. Just put him into a winning position and he'll do the rest. Nash Rawiller has clicked with the unassuming six-year-old this preparation, winning the Chelmsford in the last couple of strides before running Verry Elleegant to less than a length despite not getting any favours in the run. He then camped on the outside of 2. Shared Ambition in the G2 Hill Stakes, with that duo controlling the speed, doing enough late to bring up win number eight. Draws wide but there doesn't look to be any additional speed here despite the bigger field so expect him to roll across and find a handy spot. Will handle whatever Randwick throws up on Saturday and is three from six over this track and trip.

Dangers: Shared Ambition had every possible chance to beat Think It Over last start but there was only 0.1L between them at the finish. Appears to relish the pacemaker roll and James McDonald maps to assume control again. 4. Yonkers quickened brilliantly to win the G2 Shannon first up over 1500m. Jumps straight out to 2000m and has won three of his past five. The query is how far back he'll get from the draw in a race that looks to lack speed. On closer inspection 11. Hungry Heart isn't a complete duffer in the wet and she'll relish 2000m now. 10. Sky Lab was flat in the Epsom over 1600m on a firm deck. A wet 2000m can see him bounce back. 3. Keiai Nautique is an unknown on a wet track while 12. Bargain is an improver out to 2000m on a wet track.

How to play it: Think It Over WIN ($2.25 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: SPLIT

Race 9 - 5:30PM BENTLEY ST LEGER STAKES (2600 METRES)

2. Warning has wet track St Leger winner written all over him. He was horribly suited in the G1 Metropolitan last start, dropping out to the tail of the field with the speed coming out of the race in the middle stages. The winner broke 12s her last 200m. It wasn't exactly the staying test which this five-year-old relishes. His 11th was much better than it reads on paper, only warming up through the line. His 12.15s last 200m was only a length inferior to that of the winner. He creeps out to 2600m and gets a testing surface late in a meeting which will turn the race into a test of stamina. Love the booking of Nash Rawiller to stand over him. Might even be able to position up a touch closer than we typically see with him from the low draw. Won the Victoria Derby on a soft track over 2500m and won third up last campaign too.

Dangers: Richard and Michael Freedman look to have done it again, resurrecting the career of import 5. Young Rascal. He beat a total of four runners home in his first three runs this preparation before fourth up he ran on into second behind 1. Entente. He'll also appreciate a proper staying test and looks to have good just at the right time for this. 3. Attorney was too bad to be true in the Metrop after running an eye-catcher the start prior. Can bounce back. 9. Luncies ran well in the Metrop with no weight but isn't as well treated in this is a query in the wet. 8. Carif is a genuine stying type while 14. High Emocean has some claims. As would a hard fit 12. Savvy Valentino if he backed up from Wednesday's win.

How to play it: Warning EACH WAY ($11 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: SPLIT

Race 10 - 6:10PM HEINEKEN 3 HANDICAP (1400 METRES)

Another chance for 1. Equation . He had the excuse of being away from the fast lane at Randwick over an unsuitable 1100m trip first up before being stopped in his tracks when about to make his run in last Saturday's Silver Eagle. Thereafter he boxed on to run sixth. Backs up within a week with Annabel Neasham presumably hoping to pick up another couple of ratings points to get into the Golden Eagle in a fortnight's time. The four-year-old cruised through the grades last preparation, beating High Supremacy in the Listed Canberra Guineas before he was tipped out with spring targets in mind. It hasn't quite gone to script to this point but back to BM78 company and with Brock Ryan claiming 2kg off his 61kg, he is well set up to find winning form again.

Dangers: 10. Golly I'm Lucky is a great roughie in this. The seven-year-old's three runs back have all been hidden gems. Two back he never saw daylight behind Geist and King Of Sparta, finishing 12th. Last start he was held up half way down the straight before being flushed out into the worst part of the Randwick track. Only the impressive winner High Supremacy had faster closing splits. Thought his run had more merit than that of 3. Suave and he subsequently won at Warwick Farm. 8. Promise Of Success was a beaten odds on pop at the midweeks last start. She's a mare with ability but is very well found in early betting. 15. Cape Breton is the untapped three-year-old hard to get a line on while 14. Heza Gentleman isn't the worst at $201! A tough on pacer with no weight that'll scoot through the conditions.

How to play it: Equation WIN ($2.70 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: ODDS

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